Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOGE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 0.070263 0.081786 0.094527 0.109650 0.127099 0.146593 0.170015
2024-10-20 0.050444 0.065062 0.082859 0.106080 0.135537 0.171618 0.219134
2024-10-27 0.038597 0.054060 0.074395 0.103005 0.142125 0.193642 0.266538
2024-11-03 0.032406 0.048616 0.071344 0.105378 0.154876 0.224046 0.327828
2024-11-10 0.028574 0.045495 0.070568 0.110185 0.170932 0.260232 0.401069
2024-11-17 0.025068 0.042111 0.068651 0.112651 0.183384 0.292153 0.471457
2024-11-24 0.021860 0.038580 0.065835 0.113058 0.192316 0.319300 0.537217
2024-12-01 0.019098 0.035295 0.062844 0.112569 0.199427 0.343959 0.601341
2024-12-08 0.016673 0.032183 0.059641 0.111147 0.204547 0.365563 0.662376
2024-12-15 0.015372 0.030886 0.059385 0.114767 0.218705 0.403782 0.755876
2024-12-22 0.014187 0.029616 0.058971 0.117967 0.232341 0.442326 0.853856
2024-12-29 0.013239 0.028661 0.058994 0.121924 0.247729 0.485454 0.964559
2025-01-05 0.012273 0.027560 0.058652 0.125247 0.262533 0.529528 1.082846
2025-01-12 0.010730 0.025014 0.055072 0.121575 0.263016 0.546230 1.149948
2025-01-19 0.009424 0.022782 0.051836 0.118172 0.263570 0.563009 1.218872
2025-01-26 0.008780 0.021950 0.051488 0.120911 0.277362 0.607996 1.350462
2025-02-02 0.008400 0.021681 0.052343 0.126410 0.297748 0.668756 1.521618
2025-02-09 0.007865 0.020953 0.052049 0.129229 0.312444 0.718798 1.674699
2025-02-16 0.007234 0.019889 0.050824 0.129694 0.321767 0.757968 1.807668
2025-02-23 0.006611 0.018749 0.049261 0.129136 0.328590 0.792168 1.932809
2025-03-02 0.005998 0.017540 0.047369 0.127512 0.332630 0.820339 2.046785
2025-03-09 0.005729 0.017232 0.047728 0.131646 0.351344 0.884725 2.253045
2025-03-16 0.005454 0.016869 0.047896 0.135299 0.369246 0.948908 2.465182